Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.054129 0.063500 0.073960 0.086497 0.101111 0.117604 0.137629
2025-08-17 0.038099 0.049812 0.064311 0.083558 0.108420 0.139439 0.181080
2025-08-24 0.029809 0.042347 0.059144 0.083246 0.116903 0.162202 0.227795
2025-08-31 0.024085 0.036645 0.054605 0.082080 0.122980 0.181549 0.271761
2025-09-07 0.020720 0.033448 0.052700 0.083818 0.132754 0.206646 0.326627
2025-09-14 0.017578 0.029930 0.049581 0.082955 0.138080 0.225358 0.373909
2025-09-21 0.014869 0.026591 0.046121 0.080829 0.140791 0.239924 0.416051
2025-09-28 0.012628 0.023637 0.042788 0.078285 0.142216 0.252229 0.455593
2025-10-05 0.011469 0.022392 0.042162 0.080254 0.151537 0.278785 0.522717
2025-10-12 0.010305 0.020940 0.040929 0.080882 0.158405 0.301675 0.585904
2025-10-19 0.009267 0.019564 0.039623 0.081141 0.164514 0.323745 0.650060
2025-10-26 0.008475 0.018553 0.038865 0.082323 0.172481 0.350108 0.725470
2025-11-02 0.007882 0.017887 0.038744 0.084860 0.183666 0.384406 0.821669
2025-11-09 0.006862 0.016147 0.036172 0.081930 0.183187 0.395334 0.871663
2025-11-16 0.006195 0.015089 0.034901 0.081615 0.188208 0.418144 0.949462
2025-11-23 0.005550 0.013982 0.033362 0.080470 0.191208 0.436932 1.020735
2025-11-30 0.005177 0.013463 0.033085 0.082175 0.200860 0.471338 1.131022
2025-12-07 0.004684 0.012573 0.031810 0.081328 0.204418 0.492407 1.213180
2025-12-14 0.004179 0.011571 0.030127 0.079243 0.204707 0.505914 1.279081
2025-12-21 0.003713 0.010598 0.028378 0.076747 0.203638 0.516031 1.337952
2025-12-28 0.003511 0.010312 0.028346 0.078679 0.214044 0.555217 1.473747
2026-01-04 0.003267 0.009870 0.027844 0.079295 0.221104 0.586884 1.594240
2026-01-11 0.003031 0.009413 0.027239 0.079549 0.227229 0.616876 1.714006